I
Development Regimes
Development can be understood as an activity, a condition, an
event, or a process. In natural science, it unfolds according to
principles that humans do not control, but in social science,
development is entirely the product of human decisions. Economic
development is the subject of this essay: it can be understood as a
very complex set of institutional activities that employ public and
private assets to enhance the wealth and well-being of an entire
population. Its institutions span the gamut, including families,
communities, firms, media, governments, political parties, NGOs, and
agencies and associations of many kinds. Development is a reflexive
process, wherein policies, institutions, outcomes and analysis
interact. It is distinct from its many objects of theory and
measurement, such as economic growth. The process of development
cannot be reduced to any specific set of policy goals, empirical
trends, or normative statements, for it includes the definition of
goals, setting of priorities, choice of policies, critical
reflection, debate, relationships among people who decide what
trends are important, and political efforts to change the
direction of policy.
What appears to be objectively true about development at any
moment in time is the product of debate, selection and erasure.
Mainstream and dissenting opinions acquire empirical veracity as
their contending forces generate and deploy appropriate
data. The result is a vast literature on all varieties of
development, using various yardsticks. In economic development,
for instance, the aggregate increase in national wealth is a common
measure of progress but national autonomy, food security, equity,
poverty reduction, and social stability are typically important
policy priorities. A state’s stability, revenue, military might, and
cultural legitimacy may actually preoccupy development policy
practice more than economic indicators. Contending forces
conditioning development jostle for influence in policy
practice and use various measures of success to bolster their
positions in development debates.
Economics and Economies
The objective, scientific nature of economic development seems
secure at first sight, but that appearance is deceptive. There is,
most fundamentally, a definitive difference between ‘the economy’
and any particular ‘economy’. The ‘economy’ studied by economics
consists of various elements and mechanisms described in economic
theory, but ‘an economy’ includes natural endowments, social power,
and political history, all officially confined by state boundaries
that have no place in economic theory. The ‘world economy’ in which
‘globalisation’ occurs is a kaleidoscopic configuration of national
economies, most of whose operations elude the conceptual field of
economic theory.
The application of economics to development in any economy
requires that economic ideas and empirical statements be understood
by participants in the development process as compelling
representations of reality in their own context. Thus, economic
development embraces much more than economics: it includes all the
institutional and material conditions that constitute economies.
Most critically, economic development includes historical processes
in which some particular set of economic ideas and empirical
statements become convincing to leading participants in the
development process.
Power and Authority
A development regime is an institutional configuration of
effective power over human behaviour, and that also has legitimate
authority to make decisions that affect the wealth and well-being of
whole populations. It includes an official state apparatus but also
much more. And, as we will see, one single state can participate in
various regimes. A development regime includes institutions of
education, research, media, technology, science and intellectual
influence that constitute a development policy mainstream. The power
and authority of a regime resides not only in government but
also in physical instruments of power over nature and in cultural
instruments of authority over people’s minds and
morality. It is a techno-regime with a discursive regimen.
Composed of self-conscious, reflective, articulate people who
work in specific contexts to direct the development process, a
development regime is a documented historic formation. Its organised
influence generates ideas and empirical knowledge that are most
compelling for leading participants in the process of development in
particular places and times. The history of development thus centres
on regimes that chart trajectories of development from the past to
the present and into the future [Ludden 1992].
II
An Imperial Regime
In south Asia, pre-modern regimes developed regional economies
for many centuries, but the first development regime emerged under
the British empire after 1840. Built upon conquered regions, south
Asia’s first development regime subordinated conquered regional
economies to imperial designs of globalisation.
In 1929, one erudite British agricultural officer, William
Moreland, concluded from his research that the “idea of agricultural
development was already present in the 14th century.” His conclusion
can now be extended much further back in time, because now we know
that ancient and medieval rulers in south Asia invested heavily to
increase productivity, most visibly by building irrigation, roads
and cities. By the 18th century, state investments had helped to
develop agriculture, commerce, and manufacturing most remarkably
around capital cities in Bengal, Gujarat, Indo-Gangetic plains,
and peninsular river basins [Raychaudhuri and Irfan Habib 1970;
Habib 1982].
Pre-modern regimes endeavoured to increase state revenue in
political and social environments unfavourable to modern goals of
development, because military and political struggles often
destroyed investments in farming, manufacturing, and banking
[Moreland 1929]. Though pre-modern states did
accomplish economic development in their day, they were
certainly not organised around the process of development in the
modern sense of that term, because their efforts focused
specifically on ruling elites.
The modern idea of economic development to increase the wealth of
whole populations spread around the world in the 19th century. Its
referent population was then, and still remains, the nation. One key
early text was Adam Smith’s Wealth of Nations, published in 1776,
which attacked the British Crown for its support for elitist
monopolies like the East India Company and which advocated commerce
that would benefit the whole nation.
The British nation came into being during the imperial expansion
of Crown authority overseas. British conquest in south Asia was
underway in Adam Smith’s day and continued into the late 19th
century. At the same time, Britain became the world’s foremost
industrial nation. British India became an official collection of
regions in the world-economy of British imperialism. The British
Empire organised a development regime that embraced Britain, British
India, and also Ceylon and other colonial territories, all of which
became territorially demarcated and distinctively national segments
of an imperial economic design, whose legacy is still with us today.
The Business of Empire
By 1793, debates had begun in Britain about managing Britain’s
‘Asiatic possessions’ in the national interest, something Adam Smith
never considered.1 Two basic principles emerged.
First, the empire must pay for itself. The East India Company fell
foul of this principle, forcing the British parliament to assume
direct control over Indian finance. Secondly, British business had
to benefit. The Company ceased to serve this purpose adequately and
imperial policy shifted onto laissez faire lines. In 1813, the
British parliament ended the Company’s monopoly to allow private
merchants freer access to British territories overseas. In 1833,
Britain opened India further by making English the
official language of state law, administration and education
[Barber 1975].
The administrative articulation of Empire with British business
interests moved ahead noticeably in 1833, when the abolition of
slavery triggered petitions from Caribbean sugar planters, who being
deprived of slave labour, spurred the Indian government to send
shiploads of indentured workers from Calcutta to English sugar
plantations in the West Indies. By 1833, tariffs against Indian
cloth were protecting Lancashire industrialists, who sent cloth
virtually free of tariff to British India, driving countless weavers
into destitution. English merchants sold Bengal opium in China to
buy porcelain teacups and tea for English housewives and factory
workers to sweeten with sugar from Caribbean plantations. Meanwhile,
English businessmen came more often to work in India and displaced
Indians from commercial partnerships with British firms, as India’s
overseas trade moved more and more into British hands.
By the 1840s, the British parliament was directly engaged with
the national business interest in empire. For instance, a commission
considered ways and means to increase cotton supplies to Lancashire,
so as to reduce England’s dependence on the American South. Bombay
Presidency attracted special attention, along with
Egypt.2 Resulting efforts to boost cotton exports
from India and Egypt accomplished their goal, and when the US Civil
War broke out in 1860, Egypt and the Bombay Presidency could fill
the void in cotton supplies created by the Union blockade of
Confederate ports.
Investing in Infrastructure
A new round of imperial globalisation, attached to industrial
capitalism, had thus begun by the mid-19th century. With it emerged
a modern development regime, whose initial construction began
piecemeal during the decades between 1823 and 1854, when the real
value of taxes in British India rose rapidly, as prices in India
dropped steadily. During this long price depression, it became more
cost effective to invest Indian taxes in India, where tax money
could buy more in real terms than if remitted to England. At the
same time, British businesses sought ways to invest state money
overseas to improve the supply of raw materials and consumer
goods. In the 1840s, as parliament considered how to invest state
money to improve cotton supplies, government in British India began
building infrastructure to cheapen imports and exports, to expand
military operations, to increase revenue, and to extend the field of
British private capital investment.
So began the promotion of state infrastructure investments in
economic development. It focused first on plantations, railways,
cities, roads, ports, shipping and irrigation. In the 1840s, an
irrigation engineer, Arthur Cotton, led the way by arguing that
Indian crop production could increase manifold with state irrigation
that would pay for itself with higher taxes on more valuable
land.3 In 1853, governor general Dalhousie
announced a plan to build an Indian railway with state
contracts that guaranteed English companies a minimum 5 per cent
return, and to secure that return, government kept control of
railway construction and management. In 1871, the government of
India obtained authority to raise loans for productive purposes, and
large irrigation projects began, following earlier success raising
revenues from small projects.
Globalisation and Development
A development regime had emerged in south Asia by 1880, and it
fed the unprecedented burst of globalisation that spanned the
following five decades. By 1880, four basic modern development ideas
were well established. First was the idea that the state would lead
the development process in the public interest. Secondly, major
state investments in infrastructure would boost private investment,
expand and integrate markets, accelerate economic growth, enrich the
state and benefit the public at large. Direct benefits to the people
of British India would derive for instance from state irrigation
projects that employed native contractors and benefit landowners who
used new irrigation to produce commodity crops for expanding
markets. Third, economic progress would benefit ‘the poor’, who for
example were to be protected from famine by large irrigation works.
And last but not least, advances in science and technology
would be instruments of human progress in all nations, led
by imperial regimes.
Underlying and energising this imperial development regime, vast
market integration spawned regions of specialised commercial
production around the Indian Ocean. Ceylon was a plantation economy.
Coffee plantations expanded from 50,000 to 80,000 acres between 1847
and 1857, and peasants devoted another 48,000 acres to coffee for
export. Coffee acreage expanded another 35,000 acres in the 1860s.
In the 1880s, leaf disease killed coffee cultivation, which was
rapidly replaced by tea, rubber, coconut and cinchona. British-owned
plantations in Ceylon and Assam (including Sylhet) replaced China as
the major suppliers of English tea. British investors eventually
drove out most peasant plantation crop producers and controlled
export markets.
Labour supplies posed the major constraint for plantations, and
the solution was found in (eventually permanent) labour migration.
Tea planters depended on labour migration from southern Tamil
districts into Ceylon and from northern India into Assam. British
plantations in Malay colonies likewise depended on migratory Tamil
workers. By 1880, the modern age of vast labour migration to major
sites of capital investment had begun.
The mobility of commodities, labour and capital that defines
‘globalisation’ increased more between 1870 and 1914 than ever
before. Since then, it has only expanded. Our recent globalisation
is another great burst whose magnitude has yet to surpass the first.
By 1900, distant lands around the Indian Ocean – from the west Asia
and eastern Africa to south and south-east Asia – had become
extensively attached. Many of those attachments broke after 1945,
and most have yet to be restored, while the west Asia connection has
alone expanded.
By 1900, British Burma and East Africa developed within circuits
of mobility anchored in British India. In Burma, Tamil Chettiyar
bankers financed agricultural expansion in the Irrawaddy River
delta, which generated huge exports of rice for world markets,
including India, where urbanisation increased demand for imported
rice. In East and South Africa, merchants from Gujarat and
workers from Bombay, Calcutta and Madras provided labour and capital
for railway construction, forming urban nuclei for modern economies.
Between 1896 and 1928, 85 per cent of the emigrants leaving Indian
ports went to work on plantations in Ceylon, Malaya, the Caribbean,
Fiji and Mauritius.
Spatial Specialisation
Regional economic specialisation, based on consciously targeted
capital investment and state-organised labour mobility, became a
hallmark of the national economies that emerged in south Asia during
this round of globalisation. Though regional specialisation is most
visible in plantation and mining regions, it embraced the entire
subcontinent.
Imperial development before 1920 gave economic regions in south
Asia a distinct export-orientation, which faded in the first decades
after 1947, but returned with a vengeance during the second great
burst of globalisation after 1980. In 1914, almost all goods
arriving at south Asia ports were destined for export: these were
mostly cotton, wheat, rice, coal, coke, jute, gunny bags, hides and
skins, tea, ores and wool. Most cotton came to Bombay from
Maharashtra. All tea came to Calcutta and Colombo from Assam,
Darjeeling and Ceylon. Most export rice came to Rangoon. Wheat came
primarily from fields under state irrigation in Punjab and western
United Provinces (Uttar Pradesh). Oilseeds came to Bombay from
Hyderabad territory (Andhra Pradesh), the Central Provinces (Madhya
Pradesh) and Bombay Presidency (Maharashtra). Coal, coke and ores
came from mines around Jharkhand into Calcutta and Bombay. Eastern
Bengal (Bangladesh) produced almost all the world’s jute.
Specialised industrial regions also emerged in British India.
Imported machinery was rapidly domesticated in new Indian factory
towns. The first Indian cotton mill had appeared in 1853 in Bombay.
The Factory Act (1881) imposed working rules on Indian factories to
reduce comparative advantages they enjoyed by virtue of low local
labour costs and cheap raw materials. The impetus behind the Factory
Act sounds familiar today, as western countries endeavour to raise
compliance with international standards among industrial competitors
in Asia.
But the Factory Act did not suppress industrialisation in British
India. In 1887, J N Tata’s Empress Mill arose at Nagpur, in the
heart of cotton country, and the Tatas became India’s industrial
dynasty. Tata Iron and Steel Works at Jamshedpur consumed increasing
supplies of ore and coal, which by the 1920s rivalled exports from
Calcutta. In 1914, India was the world’s fourth largest
industrial cotton textile producer: cotton mills numbered 271 and
employed 2,60,000 people, 42 per cent in Bombay city, 26 per cent
elsewhere in Bombay Presidency (mostly Nagpur), and 32 per cent
elsewhere in British India, at major railway junctures. Coal, iron,
steel, jute and other industries were developed at the same time,
producing specialised regional concentrations of heavy industrial
production around Bombay, Ahmedabad, Nagpur, Kanpur, Calcutta,
Jamshedpur and Madras [GoI 1921]. In 1913, manufactured goods
comprised 20 per cent of Indian exports, valued at 10 per cent of
national income, figures never surpassed.
In 1914, war stimulated policies to enhance India’s
industrialisation to make India less dependent on imports. The Great
Depression, 1929-1933, again boosted incentives for industrial
growth by reducing prices for farm output compared to manufactures.
As a result, industrial output in British India grew steadily from
1913 to 1938 and was 58 per cent higher in 1936 than in 1914,
compared to slower, more uneven rates of growth in the UK and
Germany [Morris 1983].
A National Economy
By 1920, British India was a national economy within the Empire,
with its own distinctive institutions and material conditions.
Though dominated by agriculture, it included a large public sector
and major industries. Native investors and nationalist politicians
were by this time vocal advocates for increasing state development
efforts: they were aspiring and increasingly influential leaders of
the development regime.
By 1920, British India was also a land of opportunity for global
investors. The US Consul at Bombay, Henry Baker, had called India
“one of the few large countries of the world where there is an
‘open door’ for the trade of all countries”.4 England was
still British India’s dominant trading partner, but losing ground.
In 1914, the UK sent 63 per cent of British India’s imports and
received 25 per cent of its exports; and by 1926, these figures
stood at 51 per cent and 21 per cent, respectively. By 1926, total
trade with the UK averaged 32 per cent for the five major ports
(Calcutta, Bombay, Madras, Karachi and Rangoon). Bombay and Rangoon
did 43 per cent of their overseas business with Asia and the
west Asia. Calcutta did a quarter of its business with
America.5
South Asia’s early 20th century globalisation also appears in
migration data. In 1911, the British in British India numbered only
62 per cent of all resident Europeans. Four times more immigrants
came into British India from other parts of Asia than from Europe;
seven of 10 came overland from Nepal (54 per cent) and Afghanistan
(16 per cent). In 1911, Nepalis entering British India (2,80,248)
exceeded the resident British population by 50 per cent; and
overall, Asian immigrants were three times as many. In addition, by
1921, emigration far exceeded immigration. Between 1896 and 1928, 83
per cent of 1,206,000 emigrants left British India from Madras
(which accounted for only 10 per cent of total overseas trade), and
they mostly went to work in Ceylon (54 per cent) and Malaya (39 per
cent). Bombay emigrants went mostly to East and South Africa;
Calcutta emigrants, to Fiji and the West Indies [Schwartzberg 1978].
In 1920, Britain still controlled the highest echelons of south
Asia’s political economy, but by then, the overall process of
capital accumulation inside south Asia had escaped British control.
Before the first world war, London’s political position in south
Asia seemed secure. After the war, London’s power declined visibly,
both in relation to other imperial nations and in relation to
nationalist forces in south Asia, which mobilised then on an
unprecedented scale to wrest control of their national development
from the British.
III
National Regimes
In the 1920s, a national development regime emerged inside
British India. In 1920, the Indian government obtained financial
autonomy from Britain. Nationalist forces focused their critique of
government sharply on economic issues. The Indian National Congress
had first met in Bombay, in 1885, and then met every year in late
December in a different city of British India. Following the great
Deccan famines, Dadabhai Naoroji had published in 1879 The Poverty
of India to document the negative economic impact of imperial
policies on India. It was, in effect, a nationalist revision of Adam
Smith, with even greater impact, because of its political location.
Naoroji presided at Congress meetings in 1886, 1893 and 1906, where
delegates from all the provinces discussed government policy and
argued for lower taxes and increased state development expenditure.
In 1905, the Congress launched a Swadeshi movement to induce Indian
consumers to buy Indian-made cloth rather than British imports.
Economic nationalism had been established [Chandra 1966].
Perils of Globalisation
The end of this first globalisation phase in the history of
development regimes in south Asia came in the 1930s, when the Great
Depression dramatised beyond doubt the perils imposed on a
nation when its economy is open wide to the world economy under
imperial managers. Depression sparked peasant and worker’s movements
demanding economic security, and it spurred nationalist efforts to
make government accountable to the nation.
By this time, the government in British India had gained
experience as economic manager and investor in infrastructure. The
government owned and managed most mineral and forest resources.
Government agricultural departments, colleges, and experiment
stations supported scientists and engineers who worked on
state-funded development projects. Yet, the vast state sector of the
imperial economy was managed within a laissez faire, free-market
policy framework that favoured big investors and delivered benefits
disproportionately to foreigners.
During the 1930s, nationalists concluded from hard empirical data
interpreted within mainstream nationalist economic thought that a
laissez faire free-market development regime discriminated against
politically subordinate regions: it enriched imperial nations with
taxes, remittances and countless indirect benefits; and it provided
imperial investors profits, and their consumers, cheap raw materials
and consumer goods, while draining wealth from colonies and
depriving subordinate nations of the just rewards of enterprise.
Having reached this conclusion, national leaders devised new
ambitions for development.
In 1931, Jawaharlal Nehru pushed economic thought in a new
direction by saying, “the great poverty and misery of the Indian
People are due, not only to foreign exploitation in India but also
to the economic structure of society, which the alien rulers support
so that their exploitation may continue”. He went on to proclaim,
“In order therefore to remove this poverty and misery and to
ameliorate the condition of the masses, it is essential to make
revolutionary changes in the present economic and social structure
of society and to remove the gross inequalities” [Zaidi 1985].
Planning Regimes
The 1930s and 1940s brought peoples of south Asia as bitter an
experience of state failure as any population has ever endured,
including mass suffering, death and dislocation during the Great
Depression, Bengal Famine and Partition. Disastrous experience of
failed imperial governance induced nationalists to lay the
groundwork for nationally planned economic development, which
stressed autonomy, security and national integration under strong
central state leadership. In 1951, prime minister Nehru chaired
India’s Planning Commission, and in the 1950s, all south Asian
countries wrote national plans stressing self-sufficiency and
addressing problems of national economic growth, poverty and
inequality.
The 25 years between 1950 and 1975 were the heyday of nationally
planned development in south Asia. Uniquely in Bangladesh, however,
independence arrived only in 1971, and during most of the heyday of
the planning era, the regime centred in West Pakistan had rejected
legitimate demands for regional development in East Pakistan. Though
Pakistan started national development in what became Bangladesh, it
also delivered intensely discriminatory, uneven development, which
spawned mass discontent, upheaval, and eventually brutal war. In
1971, Bangladesh emerged determined to pursue progressive, planned
national development for all citizens.
Notably for Bangladesh, but to some degree for all post-colonial
regimes, national planning faced serious constraints: financial,
infrastructural, administrative, political and intellectual. All
these were quite severe in Bangladesh. The imperial regime had
stranded this region on the outer margins of public and private
priorities. Administrative and judicial systems, transport and
educational infrastructure, and financial resources were notoriously
weak, compared to other parts of British India. To address these
weaknesses, Lord Curzon had established the province of East Bengal
and Assam, in 1905, but this innovation died in 1911, under
nationalist pressure. Regional development in eastern Bengal
remained subordinate and marginal under both imperial and early
national regimes. Raw materials, zamindar rents, interest
payments, tax revenues and plantation and industrial profits moved
systematically out of eastern Bengal to enrich people in
Calcutta, Delhi, London and Islamabad; while the inflow of public
and private investment was minimal. Imperial development had
designed all dependent regions to serve dominant metropolitan
regions, but even so, comparatively large public and private
investments had flowed into favoured regions of British India,
particularly the western Ganga basin and Punjab [Ludden 2005].
During the heyday of planning, systematic inequalities in wealth
and power among social groups and regions remained starkly visible
in development thinking. The Bangladesh freedom struggle dramatised
inequalities, which in other ways also became prominent in India,
Sri Lanka and (West) Pakistan. Planning regimes tackled inequalities
with administrative and legal action, supported by the burgeoning
academic field of ‘development studies’, endowed in these
decades with policy-oriented research centres focused on nations
emerging from imperial regimes. In post-colonial countries, the
political character of development – and the necessity of changing
power relations in order to redesign development regimes, to serve
national citizens – pervaded mainstream development thought.
In that historic context, development theory and practice
converged on planning, whose central goal was to reorient
development around national priorities. Imperial regimes had turned
resources of subordinate regions into objects for laissez faire
allocation by markets in the world economy. National planning
separated national and global market priorities, enclosing
national economies and instituting state redistributive systems
to make national markets serve national citizens [Myrdal 1968].
Most national regimes around the world became more self-contained
in the 1950s and 1960s. Traumas following the earlier burst of
globalisation made most national regimes more inward looking and
self-protective. Foreign direct investment (FDI) declined globally
from roughly 10 per cent of world output in 1913 to less than 5 per
cent in the 1960s, when the rate of increase in world merchandise
exports remained well below the 1.7 per cent that pertained from
1870 to 1914.
In south Asia, as elsewhere, national plans focused on national
markets. Planners devised priorities for allocating public and
private resources, acquired internally and externally. External
funding came in grants and loans directly from countries that sought
to wield influence in former imperial dependencies, and indirectly
also from the richest countries, for the same reason, through
Bretton Woods institutions, the World Bank and International
Monetary Fund (IMF). Among the rich capitalist countries, the US
became most aggressively expansive.
Following the basic working principles of their imperial
predecessor, national planning regimes in south Asia strove to
enhance and supplement private investment. They were not
anti-market, but rather, pro-national market. Planning instituted a
combined public-private apparatus for monitoring and managing
national economies. Planning agencies organised initiatives like
cooperative societies and community development programmes.
Governments set up public food procurement and distribution systems.
They expanded national health and education. They added to large
inherited portfolios of state-owned assets heavy industries, public
utilities, banks and insurance [Bagchi 1989; Bardhan 1984; Chaudhuri
1979; Frankel 1978; Kothari 1971].
IV
Regime Change
During the heyday of national planning, economic progress became
a central feature of national life. Public intellectuals and
organisations representing farmers, workers, businesses and
many other economic interests became intensely involved in
development debates. Public interest groups of many kinds mobilised
politically. As in earlier nationalist times, economic self-interest
preoccupied urban middle classes, which became more populous,
diverse and politically active.
To address development demands pressed by all these groups,
national politicians deployed deficit spending, which increased
their need for external funding. International and bilateral funding
agencies, as well as national donors and lenders, thereby obtained
more leverage on post-colonial national economies. Funding needs and
national pride pushed politicians in south Asia to emphasise
economic growth, and increasing national wealth per capita
eventually became an end in itself, which turned policy priorities
toward the interests of investors, as competitive politics pushed
governments to undertake larger projects demanding more external
finance.
Pragmatic Strategies
While in theory, expanding popular political participation would
favour the inclusion of all citizen interests in the development
process, in fact and in practice, financial pressures to meet
citizen demands made governments more dependent on people with money
to invest in development. Launched in the 1960s, the green
revolution represents a strategic amalgamation of these contending
forces, for on the one hand, being based on the intensive use of
pesticides, fertiliser, tractors, tube wells and high-yielding
hybrid seeds, it favoured investors in agriculture and industry, and
on the other hand, because it raised wheat and rice yields
tremendously, it secured basic food requirements for national
populations and spread benefits widely, though unevenly. Green
revolution provided a strategic blueprint for national development
by encouraging regimes to: (i) increase national wealth and security
by; (ii) spreading new productive technologies; (iii) with the help
of lavish state subsidies that; (iv) favour richer investors; (v) so
as to generate more private investment; and (vi) bring producers
throughout national economies into more wealth productive systems of
combined state-and-market asset allocation.
South Asian planning regimes substantially reorganised market
economies inside their borders. This activity was in tune with
development thinking, which supported land reform and redistributive
policies to favour disadvantaged groups. Development theory also
supported industrial import substitution and public sector
production of basic goods and services, essential for public welfare
and for business alike, including transportation, energy, banking
and insurance.
Yet in theory and practice, national economies remained
predominantly market-oriented, and mostly under private control.
Private enterprise still dominated agriculture and industry. Even in
India, where national planning had the largest impact, 80 per cent
of industrial production remained in the private sector, where
public output lowered input prices and state import protection
expanded national markets for private enterprise. The result was
slow but steady economic growth and visible progress in shifting
development benefits toward groups that would not have benefited as
much from free-market allocation in post-colonial economic
conditions, especially farmers, industrial workers, and big business
[Tomlinson 1997; Johnson 1983].
Unplanned Problems
Regulatory systems established under planning regimes also pushed
national markets in unforeseen directions, which became
counterproductive. Most notably, bureaucratic controls on imports,
exports, and business generally spawned corruption as well as black
and grey markets. Foreign exchange shortages put private and public
sector companies into financial competition, driving profit seekers
underground. One estimate put the value of India’s black market at
nearly half the GDP in the late 1970s.
In addition, political pragmatism mixed development
administration with political patronage. This sparked opposition
from groups left out of the patronage circuit, deprived of
development benefits. In the 1970s, this opposition became volatile
in Pakistan, Bangladesh, India and Sri Lanka. Charges of corrupt,
inefficient, domineering and discriminatory state development
practices became effective weapons in competitive politics. By the
1970s, leading and aspiring participants in national regimes clashed
openly over control of development. Bureaucrats, politicians, the
military, domestic investors, and international financiers were
tearing at the fabric of national planning regimes.
Transitional Decades
In retrospect, we can see a transformation in national regimes
beginning in the late 1960s that yielded new development regimes by
1990. The transition began slowly, soon after Nehru’s death in 1964,
when famines struck India in 1967. Bangladesh independence gained
political force at the same time, and then in 1974, famine hit
Bangladesh. In both famine periods, foreign aid became critical, and
in response, national regimes put new energy into the green
revolution. Planners concentrated on investing state funds in sites
of intensive cultivation, where well endowed landowners
controlled local labour, finance, and political institutions.
Critics called this strategy “betting on the rich”. Defenders called
it the only road to national food security.
This strategic blueprint led states to adopt development plans
that called for increasingly expensive investments, which demanded
more external finance, more in the form of debt. At the same time,
the World Bank dramatically increased its lending under Robert
McNamara, who led the charge to increase development loans and aid
from rich countries and private banks.
These new loans came with new conditions, collectively called
Structural Adjustment Programmes, which began in the 1970s, and
gained force and reach in the 1980s and 1990s. Under these
programmes, the World Bank and IMF demanded that borrowing
governments drastically reduce their regulatory and provisioning
role in their economies, to assume the role of supporter and
facilitator for private investors, who would, according
to emerging mainstream economic thought under the so-called
Washington consensus, engage rationally in market activity to
allocate resources most efficiently for the increase of
national wealth. Freeing markets from state control became the
mantra of the international development mainstream [SAPRIN 2004;
Leys 1996].
Planning regimes unravelled under structural adjustment. Sri
Lanka, Bangladesh and Nepal led the way in south Asia, starting
slowly in the 1970s and accelerating in the 1980s. With declining
relative prices for primary product exports, the burden of external
debt grew heavier, while raising funds for large development
projects, (epitomised by the Mahaveli scheme in Sri Lanka, then the
largest irrigation project in the world) became more pressing. At
the same time, rising oil prices brought Europe and North America
recession, inflation, and petro-dollars in need of circulation,
while they brought south Asia higher costs for industrial growth,
middle class consumption, and the green revolution.
The smaller countries first began borrowing on a much larger
scale and succumbed quickly and decisively to structural adjustment.
In 1981, India began to rely foreign debt, and by 1991, internal and
external pressures forced economic liberalisation. In the 1980s,
neo-liberal free-market orthodoxy conquered the economic mainstream,
where harsh critics of state planning, provisioning, and regulation
become most influential. Development strategies emphasised private
sector leadership in market-driven economic growth, emphasised
imports and exports, and shifted the balance of power in national
state-and-market asset allocation towards national and international
business interests [Hossain et al 1999].
V
The Governance Conundrum
Development regimes in south Asia operate today
inside the same national states that managed them in 1975. But
today’s regimes are fundamentally different, and their
transformation has accompanied – if not caused – major shifts in
national politics.
In India, private capital and state governments have both gained
increasing independence from New Delhi. The Congress Party lost its
old hegemony, national government came to be composed of shifting
coalitions of regionally-based parties, and state chief ministers
now compete fiercely to attract FDI to their individual states, all
of which has effectively made each Indian state a distinct
development regime. In Nepal, electoral democracy was established in
1991, opening development to wide public debate, as foreign
investments grew, and as did a Maoist insurgency carving the nation
into regions of war and allowing the king to stage a royal coup in
February 2005, purportedly to secure Kathmandu against revolution.
Sri Lanka has endured civil war since 1981, and the nation that
existed in 1970 has effectively disappeared. In Bangladesh,
struggles over development brought military coups and a popular
movement that established democracy in 1991, amidst a deep
dependency on international finance and trade. In Pakistan, a
government wracked by struggles for regional autonomy has
experienced disruptions from two decades of war in Afghanistan,
leading to more stringent authoritarian dependence on the US.
History in the Present
Contemporary development regimes are currently in flux.
Dismantling government controls to expand the private sector has
accompanied domestic and foreign demands for more public scrutiny
and popular participation to make state regimes more accountable and
transparent to citizens and investors at home and abroad. A vast
reinterpretation and reorientation of national government is
occurring. States are officially intact, and nations remain the
basis of development, but national states no longer govern
development.
No wonder governance is now such a prominent concern in
development discourse. No coherent set of institutions has the power
and authority to establish norms and enforce rules that govern
development.
How is development governed today? The question is more than
contentious: it is a conundrum, which we can analyse historically
and spatially. As we have seen, imperialism established modern
development regimes, which redesigned regional economies to serve
the world of markets managed by imperial nations. The British Empire
designed territories of development in south Asia, which
nationalists captured and redesigned by disciplining markets inside
independent states. Thus, the spatial framework of development
shifted from empire to nation, in the middle decades of the 20th
century.
In the last 20 years, another shift has occurred. States have
lost much of their disciplining power over markets, and thus their
leadership role in development. As that has occurred, national
territory has lost its definitive role as the spatial framework that
determines who is authorised to govern development and what people
development must serve. Territorial boundaries had previously
defined participants, populations, and priorities in the development
process. Now links between development and territory are ambiguous.
Leaders of development have diversified, they are now scattered all
over the world, and their border crossing is ubiquitous.
National states still define official territories of development,
but national powers to govern development vary tremendously. In
general, these powers decline as national wealth does, until they
reach virtually zero in the world’s poorest countries.
Growing inequality of wealth and power among nations is an
increasingly visible feature of the development process, but also
increasingly, invisible in the mainstream development discourse,
which treats all countries as equally sovereign territories in the
world of globalisation. Disproportionate rich country influence is
pervasive globally, in government circles, business, finance,
technology, international agencies, consumerism, education, media,
fashion, language, and other realms. A new imperial formation is
emerging and globalisation today has much in common with
globalisation a century ago. Then there was British Empire, now
there is US Empire. Even India, the most powerful economy and state
in south Asia, has now succumbed under its current leadership to
pragmatically strategic subordination to the US.
Yet imperial authority is a thing of the past. In a world of
nations, empire can no longer provide legitimate governance. But
most states cannot provide effective governance for development. So
who then will govern development?
Balanced precariously between the real power of contemporary
imperialism and the real authority of national states, in the
shifting sands of globalisation, leadership in development today has
no clear guidelines of organisation. Leaders have disparate
loyalties and priorities. Their institutions pursue disparate goals.
Their relationships with one another are messy, filled with
competition, conflict, resistance, and negotiation among old, new,
emerging, and aspiring leaders. Television images of protesters at
World Bank and WTO meetings, or of the carnivalesque World Social
Forum raised against staid G-8 meetings, represent only the most
visible surface of the disorderly contestation underway in
development regimes today.
Can Finance Govern?
The overarching influence of finance capital in development
suggests it may now be dominant. Financial interests take many forms
but have in common their ability to suborn and discipline the needy.
The first order of business in development work today is gathering
finance, and the power and authority of financial institutions have
grown exponentially in the last 20 years. The striking absence of
diversity in poor country economic policies and the uniformity of
policy trends and economic problems in these countries following
structural adjustment result from the vast power and authority of
Bretton Woods institutions.
Most international funding agencies have followed the World Bank
leadership when using money to increase their influence over
development. In the age of structural adjustment, they have
by-passed national governments and supported the rise of
non-governmental organisations (NGOs), which now play independent
leadership roles. 22,000 NGOs operate in Bangladesh, and the
largest, BRAC, rivals ministries. Launched on a small scale in 1976,
the Grameen Bank now counts its clients in the millions and values
its loans in billions of dollars. In India, NGOs employ more people
than the central government. Using individual access to financing,
and working independently of government, NGOs have effectively
scattered governance in the development process among countless
fragmented geographies and institutions, many with strong
intellectual and other links with international agencies, and though
grounded in specific countries, also dispersed around the world.
Funding worth hundreds of billions of dollars circulates in
networks of development finance, which is wide open for NGO
entrepreneurship. Yet garnering these funds no more makes an NGO a
mere tool of funding agencies than receiving NGO goods and services
makes pawns of village beneficiaries; and no more, indeed, than
taking a bank loan makes a business a banker’s mute instrument. NGOs
have minds and agendas of their own and funding agencies need NGOs,
as well as governments, to utilise funds effectively and keep
finance circulating. The growth of NGOs reflects the rise of a
relatively autonomous leadership sector in development, while state
dependence on donors and lenders indicates that governments remain
indispensable.
Immeasurably more money moves through business networks, seeking
profits. Numerous multinational corporations control more finance
than all development agencies combined. Indeed, it might be said
that what goes under the name of ‘development funding’ only makes
sense economically when synchronised with business interests. Making
places and people attractive for investors now seems the dominant
concern for most development agencies. From this perspective, we can
see the World Bank as a conduit for the power and authority of major
business interests and of its major rich country financiers.
Yet financiers and businesses need sustainable sites for
profitable investment, which they cannot create themselves. However
dependent governments and NGOs may be on funding agencies that serve
profit-seekers, businesses rely on governments, and now also on
NGOs, to secure investment environments in national territories to
which all the world’s population are variously attached [Ludden
2003]. Structural adjustment did not intend to demolish national
governments, but rather to make them better serve financial leaders
in an emerging global development regime, which articulates the
power of many rich countries in authoritative international
institutions, including the Work Bank, IMF, UN, OECD and WTO.
A Global Regime
In global development discourse, each national state governs its
economy, and each ‘developing economy’ is developing itself, in a
global context, but in south Asia and elsewhere, national
development regimes can also be understood realistically as
officially but not operationally independent territories in a global
development regime. Imperial histories underpin the global regime,
which includes difference and competition as well
as collaboration among its leaders. Yet the integration and
coherence of the global regime have increased dramatically in the
last 20 years, under the authority of the World Bank and
increasing impact of globalisation.
As a result, each country in south Asia now inhabits more than
one development regime. National regimes still operate, but each has
various local and regional sub-units with distinctive rules of
operation, and each must also abide by international rules. In this
light, we can consider, for instance, the Tuesday Group – composed
of diplomats from donor countries who meet each week in Dhaka to
make their will known to government – as a part of the
Bangladesh regime. US embassy and World Bank offices act like global
headquarters in Dhaka. Numerous NGOs and government agencies, such
as DFID in Dhaka, serve as articulating institutions that knit
together local, national and global regimes with cross-border
activities to connect rich and poor capital cities with
‘target’ sites and populations throughout Bangladesh.
Thus, populations served by development regimes are now difficult
to delineate geographically. Each country’s national citizenry is
ostensibly its target population, but national regimes must please
donors, lenders, investors, and financiers, whose compelling
interests lie elsewhere as well.
Like the leaders of imperial development in British India,
contemporary leaders all claim to be serving ‘the poor’. Viceroy
Lord Curzon once famously quipped that he had done more for India’s
poor than all the raving nationalists who attacked him. With this in
mind, it is worth considering that programmes which proclaim their
goal to be poverty reduction also have other functions. Moreover,
their geographical reach is important today, as national states
steadily lose the capacity to undertake poverty reduction
effectively on their own, inside their own borders.
All the major globally active development institutions have now
adopted Millennium Development Goals (MDGs). This unprecedented
common framework for policy thought and action adds coherence to the
global regime, whose leaders seem to agree that national states only
serve their own poor peoples adequately by meeting uniform targets
set by international agencies. “Targeting the poor”, “listening to
the poor”, and “learning from the poor”, also preoccupy NGOs,
donors, funding groups, and action groups of many kinds, with
various territorial attachments. “The poor” now represent a global
population living in countries saddled with MDG performance targets
under global surveillance. Poor people are thus no longer conceived
primarily as national citizens. They are targets, beneficiaries, and
participants in a development process wherein leading financiers,
intellectuals, activists, policy-makers, and disciplinarians travel
the globe, measuring, monitoring, cajoling, and rewarding state
performance according to global standards rendered acceptable in
most countries through the operations of international agencies like
the World Bank and United Nations.
Nations Inside Out
Nationalist preoccupations had guided national regimes during the
heyday of planning, and they still pervade national politics,
education, and cultural institutions. But national economies have
become increasingly ‘outwardly oriented’ in the last 20 years, and
so have national cultures. Today’s educated youth, the next
generation of national leaders, is more outwardly oriented every
day. This represents a reorientation of national culture that
corresponds with the ‘opening up’ of national economies to world
markets and globalisation generally.
The techno-regime propelling this trend includes communications
systems that shape national ideologies and politics. Television
media owned by multinational corporations have flooded public
information systems in south Asia, at the same time as national
economies have become more export-oriented and thus more sensitive
to what people see going on in rich countries. The import-export
reorientation of national economies, under the influence of global
information and communications systems, repeats and magnifies
globalisation trends a century ago, and likewise, accompanies
increasing domestic investments by rich country businesses.
In the past 20 years, imports into countries affected by
structural adjustment policies have grown much faster than exports,
straining state treasuries, compelling more export production, and
inducing national needs for more foreign direct investment (FDI).
The growth of exports from south Asian countries measured 13.5 per
cent annually in the 1990s, almost four times the rate of the 1970s.
FDI also grew rapidly, though it remains a small proportion of south
Asia’s GDP. In the 1990s, FDI increased in India, Sri Lanka,
Bangladesh and Pakistan roughly by factors of 50, 30, 10, and 3,
respectively.
National imports, exports, and FDI forge linkages between
national and foreign business, which in south Asia typically
subordinates needy domestic business to the needs of richer external
partners. Thus national territory turns into a collection of
strategic sites for geographically dispersed operations by
international investor networks. Externally oriented governments
compete to make their territories attractive for investors. Success
increases the capital resident at least temporally inside their
borders and it compels governments to adjust policies so as to
attract ever more external investment and to hold it as long as
possible, a compulsion reinforced by structural adjustment policies,
which effectively continue today, when the Bangladesh finance
minister has announced dramatic tariff cuts to meet World Bank loan
conditions.
Disarticulation
Inside outwardly oriented development regimes, national
territories fragment spatially into a collection of potentially
profitable sites for business investment, at the same time as
national problems and populations fragment into global ‘target’
groups, interests, and issues. Women, poor people, indigenous
people, the environment, health, microcredit, and governance: the
list goes on and on of specific topics of global development
specialisation, each with its own experts and leading
institutions, each focused on some particular feature of
national space. The World Bank’s World Development Report
represents an annual compilation of leading global issues, to be
tackled in each country separately under the discipline of the
global regime.
Meanwhile, in the world market economy, a repeat of the core
trend of the first globalisation – the creation of specialised sites
for capital investment and labour control – is well underway. In
Nepal, tourist sites and hydroelectric projects attract foreign and
domestic partnerships. Sri Lanka is a free-trade zone. India is now
a collection of regional development histories [Dreze and Sen 1998].
Bangalore and Hyderabad are growth nodes for global high technology
business collaboration. In Bangladesh, an urban garment industry has
been the fastest growing employer, primarily of women, relying on
imports of material inputs and exporting all its output and specific
rural sites for shrimp cultivation, natural gas extraction, and coal
mining preoccupy development news. The Sylhet region of Bangladesh
specialises in the restaurant business in Britain, and in natural
gas production, complete with recurring disasters caused by foreign
investors who buy rights to national resources at bargain rates
dictated by national needs for FDI and secured by shady deals with
government officials.
The territorial basis for development has thus become ambiguous,
and a spatial re-articulation of development regimes along the kinds
of clear territorial lines that gave national regimes such firm
coherence in the past seems unlikely in the near future.
Disarticulation is continuing under the combined influence of
historical processes that include (i) outward reorientation of
national policies, economies and cultures, (ii) localisation of
economic specialisation in world markets, (iii) isolation of groups
and issues for targeting by development institutions, and
(iv) increasingly forceful, coherent control of national
economies by the global development regime. The global regime is
ambiguously territorial – or we might even say, hypocritically so –
because it proclaims national sovereignty and undermines it at the
same time.
There is some international movement toward a reterriorialisation
in Asia, but SAARC, for instance, remains weak. Added territorial
coherence might be gained by cooperation among contiguous countries,
but for the most part, their governments and businesses compete for
shares in world markets and squabble over border crossings they
cannot control.
As markets escape states, border-crossing eludes regulation and
monitoring. Cross-border labour migration is massive but impossible
to regulate minutely. Only a fraction of remittances are recorded
and most move through informal channels to finance domestic
consumption, investment and foreign trade in the migrants’ home
locality. Illegal trades flourish in drugs and arms; organised crime
has gone beyond its old interest in black market radios and videos
to trafficking in women and child sex-workers. Markets without
borders thus thrive at the expense of national economic coherence
and political authority.
Such mobility is only one indication that much of the citizenry
has acquired an ambiguous attachment to national territorial
authority. Many poor people may be more effectively attached to
local and regional institutions and NGOs than to national
governments. Aspiring educated urban classes were the historic font
of nationalism, but their lifestyles and trajectories also attach
them now to rich countries where they study, work, travel, invest,
marry, send children, and emigrate, often to return. The
disarticulation of middle classes also pervades NGOs, which deal
with development problems using ideas and finance that travel the
world into national localities where they employ suitably trained
employees and experts.
Resistance
and Exclusion
Adding further
incoherence to the governance of development, mobile experts and
activists lead citizen groups that sharply criticise national and
global development regimes and are mostly excluded from them
[Rahnema and Bawtree 1997]. Popular movements against the Narmada
Dam in India and Arun Three hydroelectric project in Nepal are but
two of countless efforts to make development more respectful of
people marginalised, displaced, excluded, and impoverished by
development programmes. Such movements typically articulate local
grievances with national politics as well as with globally active
organisations. But despite their vigour and success, they remain on
the sidelines of the development mainstream, which has little use
for popular movements.
Direct
resistance to development regimes takes many forms, some deemed
legitimate, others not. Corruption and criminality can be seen to
represent illegitimate efforts to operate markets in goods and
services outside regulatory discipline. It appears more obvious now
than it did 20 years ago that legitimate ‘free markets’ require
intense discipline, and imposing that discipline is today a major
preoccupation of development regimes.
Disciplining
markets effectively may indeed require the existence of clearly
demarcated spatial domains of territorial authority for the
enforcement of rules for market governance.6 Today’s
territorial disarticulation and ambiguous re-articulation has
certainly generated rich liminal space for resistance to rules and
norms imposed by any regime. These liminal spaces overlap national
boundaries everywhere, and inside national territory, concentrations
of crime and corruption on the external and internal margins – in
ports, on coasts, in rivers, chars, borderland, and mountains, slums
and poor villages – that is all places substantially excluded from
benefits of development discipline, indicate that territorial
governance requires not only border controls but integration of
people and places inside territorial institutions of resource
provisioning.
Fiercely
explicit opposition to existing territorial regimes further
aggravates ungovernability. Countless grassroot movements
aspire to participate in mainstream leadership, but many others
fight the leadership as they seek to redefine development in local,
regional, ethnic, national, religious, and even global terms.
Struggles to inject disenfranchised groups into development regimes
often face fierce repression and are typically kept on the margins
of public visibility. Some struggles over development straddle
distinctions between legitimacy and illegitimacy, and variously
force their way into negotiations for regime authority, for
instance, Maoists in Nepal, Naxalites in India, LTTE in Sri Lanka,
Islamic militants in many countries, ULFA in Assam, and rebels in
mountain regions in India’s north-east and the Chittagong hill
tracts.
Conclusion
Contemporary
development regimes inhabit histories they do not control. They
operate among forces and tendencies that do not form one dominant
trend. Globalisation, regionalism, and localisation are all
progressing at the same time. In this context, the use of national
statistics to measure the progress of development is not only
inadequate but deceptive, because national territories no longer
comprise the spatial domain of development. No other territorial
domain has come into existence.
Problems of
governance today thus do not derive from national governments and
cannot be addressed adequately by reforms designed merely to improve
national state performance as a managerial development institution.
Ungovernability is a now a prominent feature of development, locked
in place by forces operating inside and outside national
territories. Experts and disciplinarians who work earnestly to
enforce rules and norms of the global regime in national states are
actually part of the problem: they participate unwittingly in
struggles and negotiations they do not see, over control over the
development process yet claiming to be dispassionate purveyors of
universal truths about trajectories of human progress.
Who is leading
development, who is benefiting, and where today’s trends are moving
remain debatable. Some say development is dead. It is more accurate
to say that development has entered a confusing phase of flux and
uncertainty, wherein increasingly numerous, vocal, and contentious
participants organise to pursue disparate, sometimes contradictory
goals, including free market globalisation, economic growth, gender
justice, ending poverty, and empowering the poor majority
of citizens who have never yet had their own effective
institutional voice.
Email:
davidludden@hotmail.com
Notes
1
Historical View of Plans for the Government of British India and
Regulation of Trade to the East Indies and Outlines of a Plan
of Foreign Government, of Commercial Economy, and of Domestic
Administration for the Asiatic Interests of Great Britain, J
Sewell and J Debrett, London, 1793.
2 British Parliamentary
Papers, Reports from Committees, 1847-1848, Volume 9, ‘Report
from the Select Committee on the Cultivation of Cotton in
India’.
3 Arthur Thomas Cotton, Lectures on irrigation
works in India; Delivered at the School of Military Engineering,
Chatham, Autumn Session, 1874, Collected and Published by
Uddaraju Raman, Vijayawada, 1968.
4 US Department of Commerce,
Special Consular Reports, No 72, British India, with Notes on
Ceylon, Afghanistan, and Tibet, Washington, Government Printing
Office, 1915, p 9.
5 Annual Statement of the Sea-Borne Trade
of British India with the British Empire and Foreign Countries for
the Fiscal Year Ending March 31, 1926, Calcutta, Government of
India, 1926, Table 10.
6 As M D Young says, “competitive markets
are excellent servants but bad masters”, Sustainable Investment
and Resource Use: Equity, Environmental Integrity, and Economic
Efficiency, UNESCO and Parthenon Press,
Paris, 1992.
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