UNIVERSITY OF PENNSYLVANIA - AFRICAN STUDIES CENTER
Executive Summary, and Introduction

Executive Summary, and Introduction


Food Security and Food Self Sufficiency in Africa





EXECUTIVE SUMMARY


The first four years of the 1990s indicate that African economies have grown by an estimated mere 1.5 per cent per annum - worse than during the "lost decade" of the 1980s when Africa's economic annual growth rate was on average 1.8 per cent during the period 1980-1990. This growth is barely half of the rate of growth of Africa's population and is well below the annual average growth target of 4 per cent set by the World Food Conference in 1974, and still worse than the 6 per cent set in the United Nations New Agenda for the Development of Africa in the 1990s.

Not only more people go to bed hungry every day but a great number of the African population was brought into a state of insecurity and instability due to the breakdown in the social fabrics and to the expansion of war, ethnic conflicts, political turmoil, crime and diseases such as the pandemic AIDS. It is becoming even harder for the international community to keep some countries in peace and in one piece. Agricultural production which increased at an annual average growth rate of 2.9 per cent in 1961-1970, dropped to a negative growth of -2.4 per cent in 1991-1992. Per caput food production growth rate fell from a poor value of -0.1 per cent per annum in 1981-1990 to yet an alarming mediocre estimate of -5.3 per cent per annum in 1991-1992. Africa which was a small net exporter of food in 1960-1970, having achieved a food self-sufficiency ratio (SSR)
of 102, saw this ratio decline to 75 in the 1978-1982 period.
Africa has become a continent in transition. Transition from continuous economic mismanagement and social fabric deterioration compounded by a debilitating increasing external debt, from unconvincing and uncoordinated drive to genuine democracy, towards a permanent market oriented economic system. This transition period will need 15 to 20 years.

There is again an urgent need to analyze Africa's food security issues in relation to the performance of the region's agriculture food sector and discuss the constraints to increased agricultural food production especially those of policy origin; once more, appropriate and strengthened strategies are needed to help solve the continent's food insecurity problems and highlight priorities likely to improve food security in Africa. Hunger is evil, and it is worse when hunger and loss of hope or lack of faith to take action go together. Opening up new horizons in objectives and needed action will be required for those who have lost them; and this will call for inter-country cooperation among the African countries which must identify their resources and priorities to enhance food and agricultural production including agro-industry in the continent.

Meeting food production demand in years to come suggests the importance of appropriate policies and approaches. A 5 per cent growth rate is ambitious, but not impossible. To achieve the growth target, all the African countries will need to create an enabling environment, control population growth, harness new technologies, build and strengthen considerably their own capacities, safeguard natural resources, and strengthen regional economic cooperation and integration. Fundamentally, there are five major conditions to agricultural progress in Africa: it must be environmentally sustainable; compatible with population growth rate; technologically feasible to increase yields to raise output; economically there have to be incentives (quality growth, equity and economic policies) not just exhortations; organizationally farmers must be provided with the delivery system - infrastructures and institutions; and based on regional economic cooperation and integration.
30 March 1995

I. INTRODUCTION
The first four years of the 1990s indicate that African economies have grown by an estimated mere 1.5 per cent per annum - worse than during the "lost decade" of the 1980s when Africa's economic annual growth rate was on average 1.8 per cent during the period 1980-1990. This growth is barely half of the rate of growth of Africa's population and is well below the annual average growth target of 4 per cent set by the World Food Conference in 1974, and still worse than the 6 per cent set in the United Nations New Agenda for the Development of Africa in the 1990s (UN-NADAF).

This trend of continuing decline in the global economic performance also continues to translate itself into a further slide into hunger and poverty. Available data, in fact, reveal that the per caput GDP in Africa fell to $US716 in 1993 from $806 in 1980 and $741 in 1990 (ECA, 1995) ECA, 1995. Databank of ECA Statistics Division (ECA/STAT/NAC.1/94/2), Addis Ababa, Ethiopia.
and the number of the poor in Africa south of the Sahara grew at roughly the same rate as the human population, i.e., about 3 per cent per year in the 1980s. According to the World Bank (1992), the proportion of people living below the poverty line in the region is likely to jump to 49.7 per cent by the year 2000 from its value of about 47.6 per cent in 1985. It is also in this region that the daily per caput food consumption which has never exceeded 2140 kcal/day since the 1960s and is now found to be 2100 kcal/day say about 85 per cent of internationally recommended requirement for a healthy and active life. The number of Africa's hungry and malnourished people which was just about 80 million in the early 1970s, is now believed to be in the range of 175-200 million and is likely to jump to 300 million by the year 2010 if the present trends continue to prevail.

From the above and from a general review of the socio-economic conditions in Africa, a continuous decline in the capacity of an increasing number of both rural and urban population to access to food and other basic needs including potable water, health services, education and shelter is eye catching. Actually over the last decade, household food security situation has reached a threatening emergency level, which resulted in public distrust of and changes in government across the continent. These changes in government including the introduction of multipartism have so far had minimal impact on the socio-economic conditions of the population.

Not only more people go to bed hungry every day but a great number of the African population was brought into a state of insecurity and instability due to the breakdown in the social fabrics and the expansion of war, ethnic conflicts, political turmoil, crime and diseases such as the pandemic AIDS. It is becoming even harder for the international community to keep some countries in peace and in one piece. Agricultural production which increased at an annual average growth rate of 2.9 per cent in 1961-1970, dropped to a negative growth of -2.4 per cent in 1991-1992. Per caput food production growth rate fell from a poor value of -0.1 per cent per annum in 1981-1990 to yet an alarming mediocre estimate of -5.3 per cent per annum in 1991-1992. Africa which was a small net exporter of food in 1960-1970, having achieved a food self-sufficiency ratio (SSR)
of 102, saw this ratio decline to 75 in 1978-1982 period.

Africa has become a continent in transition. Transition from continuous economic mismanagement and social fabric deterioration compounded by a debilitating increasing external debt, from unconvincing and uncoordinated drive to genuine democracy, towards a permanent market oriented economic system. This transition period will need 15 to 20 years.

More than ever before, Africa needs serious and clear rethinking, and a demanding persistence and consistency in doing things for itself, jettisoning the temptation to rely on graphic images or pictures of E/ECA/CM.21/10
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misery and starvation to work on the emotions of donors to arouse their sympathy and pity, spurring them into action to provide alms. The region will be challenged even more to increasingly rely on the generation of its own resources for development purposes, instead of waiting for foreign aid. Outside assistance can help but it must be teamed up with African resolve.

There is again an urgent need to analyze Africa's food security issues in relation to the performance of the region's agriculture food sector and discuss the constraints to increased agricultural food production especially those of policy origin; once more, appropriate and strengthened strategies are needed to help solve the continent's food insecurity problems and highlight priorities likely to improve food security in Africa. Hunger is evil, and it is worse when hunger and loss of hope or faith to take action go together. Opening up new horizons in objectives and needed action will be required for those who have lost them; and this will call for inter-country cooperation among the African countries which must identify their resources and priorities to enhance food and agricultural production including agro-industry in the continent.

Meeting food production demand in years to come suggests the importance of appropriate policies and approaches. A 5 per cent growth rate is ambitious, but not impossible. To achieve the growth target, all the African countries will need to create an enabling environment, control population growth, harness new technologies, build and strengthen considerably their own capacities, and safeguard natural resources, and strengthen regional economic cooperation and integration. Fundamentally, there are five major condi-tions to agricultural progress in Africa: it must be environmentally sustainable; compatible with population growth rate; technologically feasible to increase yields to raise output; economically there have to be incen-tives (quality growth, equity and economic policies) not just exhortations; organizationally farmers must be provided with the delivery system - infrastructures and institutions; and based on regional economic coopera-tion and integration.

The present report is organized in four chapters. Chapter I or introduction covers the problems and the objectives; chapter II is concerned with the analysis of food security situation and related major con-straints in Africa; a priority programme aimed at improving food security in the continent is proposed in chapter III while the conclusions and recommendations are presented in chapter IV.


Editor: Dr. Ali B. Ali-Dinar, Ph.D
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