Michel Guillot

Associate Professor




Michel Guillot’s research focuses on mortality and formal demography. During the past three years, he has completed work on tempo effects in mortality, demographic measurement, and mortality dynamics in developing countries, in particular in former Soviet Central Asia. In the area of demographic measurement, Guillot has proposed a new approach for estimating health expectancies in the absence of longitudinal data. In his work in former Soviet Central Asia, Guillot finds that adult mortality in Kyrgyzstan is lower than in Russia (a much richer country), in part because of cultural differences related to alcohol consumption. More generally, he finds important differences in the nature of the post-Soviet health crisis in Central Asia and Russia. These findings have health policy implications in countries of the former USSR.


B.A., History, University of Paris IV-Sorbonne(1992); M.A., Demography, University of Paris I-Sorbonne (1995), Ph.D., Demography and Sociology University of Pennsylvania (2000)


French, Russian, Persian

Research Interests:

Demography, Central Asia

Overseas Research Experience:

Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Russia

Representative Awards and Distinctions:

David E. Bell Fellow, Harvard Center for Population and Development Studies (2000)

Recent Publications:

“Ethnic Differentials in Adult Mortality in Kyrgyzstan,” (with Natalia Gavrilova and Tetyana Pudrovska), forthcoming in Mortality in countries of the former USSR. Fifteen years after the break-up: change or continuity? Anatoly Vishnevsky (ed.). Moscow: Center for Demography and Ecology; “Mortality in Kyrgyzstan since 1959: Real Patterns and Data Artifacts”. Espace-Populations-Sociétés 2007(1): 113-126; Naselenie Kyrgyzstana [The Population of Kyrgyzstan] (ed. with Zarylbek Kudabaev and Mikhail Denissenko). 2004


Social Statistics; Advanced Demographic Methods; Population and Society in the Former Soviet Union