Annenberg University Professor
University of Pennsylvania
Psychology Department
Wharton School
To explore your own judgment style – and how well you can perform in a level playing field geopolitical forecasting tournament – visit: www.goodjudgmentproject.com
The fox knows many things but the hedgehog knows one big thing. When is one or another style of thinking more likely to prevail? How much stability is there in who wins or loses forecasting tournaments?
Philip E. Tetlock
University of Pennsylvania
Solomon Labs, 3720 Walnut St, Room C8
Philadelphia, PA, 19104
E-mail : tetlock@wharton.upenn.edu
Phone: (215) 746-8541
Fax : (215) 898-0401
An interview with Phil Tetlock in which he describes the philosophy behind his most recent research on forecasting tournaments and the value they have both to individuals and the larger society. Read Article >
All content © Phil Tetlock, 2013 | All rights reserved.